O.K., before I get too far into this, DO NOT ATTACK ME. I predict I will get hate through my comment section, twitter and elsewhere quite quickly. Chris Christie posts do that, much like Mitt Romney posts got me kicked off of various conservative websites a few years ago.
This is not an endorsement; in fact, you could in some ways call it an ‘antiendorsement’.
But I think we are facing the very real possibility of Chris Christie surging ahead to become the 2016 GOP nominee. And quite honestly, we really won’t have anyone to blame but ourselves.
If there was a big winner in the Obamacare defunding episode, Gov. Chris Christie was it. In many ways, he benefits far more than any Democrat, and is ideally placed to take advantage of the political winds of the day.
Why do I say this? First, let us review what the basic political trends of the past few weeks have been.
For the most part, the GOP marginalized itself. We can argue whether defunding was a good or bad strategy, but the worst strategy of all is one where the party is going in three different directions, had no leadership or spine, and ultimately capitulates on every issue. That is precisely what happened here.
Furthermore, for the large part of the populace that wasn’t really paying attention to the intricacies involved, the GOP looked like the radical party, shutting down government against the hapless President. Yes, I stipulate that this is not the reality, but that is what the public saw. And they made the decision to blame everyone in Washington, D.C….including President Obama. However, let us also stipulate that they blamed Republicans more.
Third, the public is sick and tired of our broken political system. They have basically declared a pox on both houses of both parties, and although the GOP has taken a larger hit, it isn’t by as much as many think.
So is the result of this scenario that I have drawn up?
Most importantly, it elevates an outside of the beltway executive who runs against the grain, fights the system, and is a different type of politician, who can declare that he/she is against both parties to a certain extent and will bring a new kind of politics to the White House.
Chris Christie, enter stage right.
To be sure, there are many others that could benefit from this as well. Every reasonable GOP Governor could stake a claim on this same argument. Rick Perry, Scott Walker, among others could make this argument. But Christie has one added advantage: he is not beholden to the Tea Party. And for moderates and independents who are not beholden to the conservative base, that is a positive.
I know at this point my conservative brethren are ready to blow an aneurysm. Christie is a Republican who basically stabbed our prior Republican nominee in the back on the eve of the 2012 election, a man who has questionable standing on some of our most basic foundations of conservatism (government spending, 2nd amendment rights, abortion, Obamacare, etc), and here I am still telling you he may triumph as the Republican nominee in 2016?
Hey, don’t blame me. I just call them as I see them.
Conservatives (and I mean real conservatives, not just Republicans) better get their act together. We want a chance to run a true conservative in 2016? We better have policies that are acceptable to Americans. We must base our campaign on policies that speak to middle America, that hit at the heart of the economic despair that ravages this country. We better put out a face of the future, a person that can speak conservatism to the masses. We need a new type of conservative candidate, and we have to find that person quickly.
Otherwise, enjoy Christie 2016.