Egypt burns. Syria lies in ruins. Libya is falling apart. Iraq may be close to civil war itself. And Afghanistan never really improved after the Obama surge.
Here lies the remnants of Nobel Peace Prize winner Barack Obama’s largest foreign policy vision, the Arab Spring.
President Barack Obama, aided by then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, believed their own audaciousness could push many of the world’s hot spots into more peaceful methods of dialogue and understanding. This was most prominent in what ended up to be called the ‘Arab Spring’. Obama tried to take credit for those results, by pointing to his now famous/infamous 2009 Cairo speech. That speech basically was an apology for the 8 years of George W. Bush, and letting the world know that there was a new order, led by his compatriots.
This month, we can pretty much evaluate the Obama policy: it is a complete and utter failure.
Egypt has always been a troublesome partner. But the Obama people simply misread the situation over the past couple years; and the results are horrific.
When they helped urge the ouster of Hosni Mubarak two years ago, the results could have been predicted. Countries don’t just evolve like a phoenix from the ashes of totalitarianism. It takes time and effort to build the democratic infrastructure necessary. With Mubarak gone, there was no one other than the Egyptian military to do that. The military is a force of stability throughout the Middle East; the naive mistake for the Obama State Department is, that does not make them necessarily a force for good. They forget the history that the military was largely responsible for placing those totalitarian dictators in place in the first place.
So when Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood came to power, the Military was unhappy, and it showed. There was immediate friction. And of course, the US had no interest in maintaining Morsi; however, despite how the media wants to spin it, the Muslim Brotherhood and Morsi did clearly win the election (not that the election was anywhere near perfect; what election is in the Middle East?). So we side, once again, with the Military, this time against Morsi (and refuse to call it a coup in the process)…and believe our standing among the Arab street would improve?
Now, the Military acts like they always do…they have a problem that looks like a nail, and they hammer it. They will try to crush the Muslim Brotherhood. The problem? If you believe surveys and polls, the Brotherhood’s support is growing. It was already about a third of the country, and may be pushing 40% now. You cannot wipe out 40% of the nation.
You can see the incompetence repeated time after time after time; Egypt is just the newest example. In Afghanistan, Obama took Bush’s successful surge concept from Iraq, and used it…and failed. Afghanistan is probably more unsettled today than before Obama took office. In Iraq, we have left the country; and as such, the only stabilizing force there no longer exists. The country teeters on the edge of civil war, and we have no power to stop it. In Syria, we could have helped by getting involved three years ago with simple outside assistance; today, there is full-blown Civil War, where both sides are actually our enemies. Only a fool would try to get involved there. And Libya has been spiraling from the moment Obama claimed victory there after Qaddafi’s killing. The country is basically a failed state.
The Hillary Clinton/John Kerry Secretaries of State tandem may go down in history as one of the most incompetent ever. They had an unsurpassed amount of good will upon Obama’s election in 2008; and they have squandered it. The US is now less respected in most countries than it was…under Bush. That is quite an accomplishment.
Kerry travels around and makes ignorant statements, which the administration the next day has to rescind or alter just to save face. As for Hillary, she begins her campaign for 2016; tell me, has anyone ever been more undeserving of praise than her? It is the Democrat equivalent of Donald Rumsfeld failing at the Defense Department and then running for President. Hillary, by every metric, failed at the State department, from Benghazi to Syria to Russia to China…and yet here she is, the presumptive favorite for her party’s nomination.
By every metric known to man, the Obama Administration foreign policy in the Middle East has failed. It will take time for the media to catch on, as they are slow learners. It will take even longer for Democrats, because they must at all costs protect Hillary’s legacy. But the truth is there to see, today.
This was crossposted at Neoavatara.